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    013563

    Evaluation of the impact of family planning programmes on fertility: sources of variance.

    United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs. Population Division

    New York, New York, United Nations, 1982. 290 p. (Population Studies No. 76; ST/ESA/SER.A/76)

    This 3-part report is a result of the work of the Second Expert Group Meeting on Methods of Measuring the Impact of Family Planning Programmes on Fertility, which met in Geneva, Switzerland, in March 1979. The 1st part consists of a report on the meeting, including discussions of the methods, potential fertility, gross and net program effects, direct and residual effects, a prevalence-based model, computerization of principal methods for assessing program effect on fertility, future developments, problems of measurement of program effort, needed research, and recommendations. The 2nd part comprises case studies by national experts of application of methods in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, Korea, Thailand, and Tunisia as well as an analysis of issues in the comparative analysis of techniques for evaluating family planning programs presented by the case studies. The 3rd part provides statements on measuring the impact of family planning programs on fertility, submitted by members of the Second Expert Group. Topics covered include potential fertility, changing concepts and data needs, the interpretation of regression analyses, indices of family planning inputs, analytical approaches to the comparison of methodologies, uniform births-averted calculations for 9 countries, the utilization of program input indicators, program relationship to the nonprogram sector, evaluation of integrated service programs, linkages of social change to family planning, and unresolved issues.
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