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The application of modelling to control strategies in lymphatic filariasis. Report of a consultative meeting, Geneva, 14-16 February, 1996.
[Unpublished] 1996. 23 p. (TDR/AFR/FIL/97.1)An informal meeting was held in Geneva during February 14-16, 1996, under the auspices of the Filariasis Operational Research Task Force of the World Health Organization's (WHO) Special Program for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases (TDR) and the Filariasis Unit of the Division of Control of Tropical Diseases (CTD) to critically review recent advances and the current status of approaches to the epidemiologic modelling of lymphatic filariasis, and to recommend further steps needed to improve the field use of epidemiologic models in the control of lymphatic filariasis in endemic countries. Participants included experts in epidemiologic modelling, clinicians, parasitologists, entomologists, epidemiologists, public health planners, and members of the WHO secretariat. Modelling is a way of organizing information so that the interrelationships of components can be readily understood, and so that data lacking for the complete understanding of a problem can be identified. Progress in modelling and optimizing models for field applications are discussed. A work plan and recommendations are also presented. Meeting participants concluded that both the EPIFIL and LYMFASIM epidemiologic modelling packages have good potential to contribute to lymphatic filariasis control efforts. Although simple models of transmission are most urgently needed by control programs, complex models of pathogenesis are also needed.