Title: Mortality projections for Japan: a comparison of four methods.

POPLINE Document Number: 252237

Author(s):

Wilmoth JR

Source citation:

In: Health and mortality among elderly populations, edited by Graziella Caselli and Alan D. Lopez. Oxford, England, Clarendon Press, 1996. :266-87.

Abstract:

"In this chapter, trends in death-rates for total and cause-specific mortality for Japan are examined in an attempt to forecast the future level and pattern of Japanese mortality. In particular, an attempt is made to answer the following questions: `Will life expectancy continue to rise in Japan, or will it reach an upper limit?' `How will the proportion of the Japanese population that is older than age 65 (or 85) change in the future?' `What causes of death will have the greatest influence on trends in total death rates?'" Particular attention is given to some methodological issues involved in making these mortality projections. (EXCERPT)

Keywords:

Japan
Mortality
Methodological Studies
Population Projection
Causes of Death
Life Expectancy
Older Adults
Asia, Eastern
Asia
Developed Countries
Population Dynamics
Demographic Factors
Population
Estimation Technics
Research Methodology
Length of Life
Adults
Age Factors
Population Characteristics