Title: World population growth: trends and prospects, 1960-2020.

POPLINE Document Number: 252009

Author(s):

Demeny P

Source citation:

In: Resources and population: natural, institutional, and demographic dimensions of development, edited by Bernardo Colombo, Paul Demeny, and Max F. Perutz. Oxford, England, Clarendon Press, 1996. :25-47.

Abstract:

"Using mostly United Nations estimates, [the author] outlines salient features of the most recent trends in global population growth and considers the determinants and likely future evolution of these trends. The focus of the discussion is on the six decades centered on 1990. Comments on demographic change in a more remote past and glimpses to more distant demographic futures are also offered to place the period 1960-2020 into a broader perspective....The discussion begins with comments on the demographic transition--a descriptive device that summarizes some common patterns of mortality and fertility that have driven population change over time in the modern era. This is followed by a description of recent regional trends in population growth and its main proximate determinants, mortality and fertility. The concluding sections interpret these trends and consider future population prospects." (EXCERPT)

Keywords:

Global
Population Dynamics
Population Projection
Population Growth Estimation
Demographic Transition
Population Growth
Fertility
Mortality
Demographic Factors
Population
Estimation Technics
Research Methodology